PSM vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PSM
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
PER
4 - 2
PSM
53%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PSM
0 - 1
PER
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
PSM
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
PSM
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
MAD
1 - 1
PER
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
MIT
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2016 |
BSU
3 - 0
PER
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PER
2 - 1
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |