PSM vs Persela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
PSM
2 - 1
PER
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PER
1 - 1
PSM
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
ARE
2 - 0
PSM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
PSM
1 - 1
PER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
PSM
2 - 1
PER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Persela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2008 |
DEL
1 - 0
PER
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
PER
1 - 0
PEL
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
PER
2 - 0
PSI
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2008 |
MED
0 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2008 |
SRI
2 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |