Copa Indonesia 1/16
Global 5-2
PSM vs Madiun Putra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MPF
1 - 1
PSM
11%
19%
71%
|
54 | 16 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
PSM
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
SRI
2 - 0
PSM
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
PSP
3 - 0
PSM
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
PSM
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Madiun Putra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
MPF
1 - 1
PSM
11%
19%
71%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PBD
0 - 2
MPF
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MPF
1 - 0
PBD
69%
18%
14%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |