PSM vs Bontang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
PER
1 - 2
PSM
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
MAD
3 - 1
PSM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
PSM
5 - 3
PER
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
PSM
2 - 0
PER
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
PSM
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bontang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
PER
5 - 1
BON
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
PER
4 - 0
BON
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
PER
3 - 1
BON
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
BON
2 - 1
PER
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BON
4 - 2
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |