PSM vs Arema FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MIT
1 - 4
PSM
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PSM
2 - 0
SRI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
PST
1 - 2
PSM
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 1
PSM
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +5 |
Matches
Arema FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ARE
1 - 0
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PER
1 - 0
ARE
59%
22%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 0
MAD
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
ARE
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 2
PUS
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +3 |