PSG II vs Arras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
QUE
1 - 0
PSG
50%
24%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
PSG
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PSG
0 - 1
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ESW
1 - 0
PSG
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
IVR
3 - 0
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARR
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
ESW
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 1
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 2
ASB
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |