Psg vs Pro Desenzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Psg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
GON
2 - 0
PSG
53%
22%
25%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 1
PSG
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PSG
0 - 0
BAS
28%
23%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIG
3 - 1
PSG
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 0
ATL
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Desenzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DES
2 - 0
CAS
49%
23%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
GHE
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
2 - 3
DES
79%
13%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GON
2 - 1
DES
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
MAR
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |