Proxy vs Tanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
11º
6º
57
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 70.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Proxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ELM
1 - 1
PRO
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
DSC
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
ELH
1 - 1
PRO
29%
26%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 0
HEA
53%
23%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ABO
2 - 0
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 2
DSC
31%
28%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 2
TAN
46%
25%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 0
ELS
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
ITN
1 - 0
TAN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 0
GSH
43%
27%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |