Proxy vs Alexandria SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
3º
11º
6º
34
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 53 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
41% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
82.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Proxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
AMS
1 - 2
PRO
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
KAF
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
BAM
3 - 2
PRO
53%
24%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
TAN
58%
22%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ELM
1 - 1
PRO
34%
28%
39%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 1
KAF
44%
27%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
TAN
2 - 1
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 0
DSC
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
HEA
1 - 0
ASC
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ASC
2 - 0
ELS
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |