Provincial Ovalle vs Quintero Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 3
OVA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MSA
3 - 0
OVA
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
OVA
0 - 0
MSA
29%
28%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LIM
2 - 1
OVA
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OVA
3 - 0
QUI
47%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Quintero Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
QUI
1 - 2
TRA
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
OVA
3 - 0
QUI
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
QUI
0 - 2
LIM
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
TRA
3 - 0
QUI
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
QUI
0 - 0
OVA
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |