Progresso da Lunda Sul vs Bravos do Maquis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso da Lunda Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
PLS
2 - 0
CDH
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ADL
2 - 1
PLS
38%
28%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PLS
1 - 2
PRI
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CRD
3 - 0
PLS
36%
31%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PLS
1 - 1
JGM
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bravos do Maquis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
ONZ
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ONZ
1 - 0
REC
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
PRO
4 - 0
ONZ
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ONZ
1 - 0
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SRI
1 - 2
ONZ
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |