Progresso Sambizanga vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
KAB
2 - 3
PRO
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 1
REC
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
PRO
5 - 0
PET
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 0
PRI
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SAG
4 - 2
PRO
49%
28%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRI
59%
22%
18%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SAG
3 - 1
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
REC
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PRI
2 - 1
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
BEN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |