Progresso Sambizanga vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 2
PRO
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
PRO
4 - 0
ONZ
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CDH
1 - 1
PRO
36%
30%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
ADL
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PRI
4 - 0
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2017 |
SRI
0 - 1
30%
31%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
PRI
3 - 2
SRI
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SAG
1 - 0
SRI
51%
29%
20%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SRI
1 - 2
ONZ
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
CDH
0 - 0
SRI
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |