Progresso Sambizanga vs Academica do Lobito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
16%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso Sambizanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
PRI
4 - 0
PRO
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 0
CRD
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
JGM
0 - 1
PRO
44%
29%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 3
KAB
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 0
PRO
40%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Academica do Lobito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
ADL
0 - 2
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SRI
0 - 2
ADL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ADL
2 - 4
SAG
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ONZ
3 - 1
ADL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -3 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
ADL
0 - 2
CDH
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |