Progresso vs Wagiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 0
BEL
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BDC
1 - 2
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
POL
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 2
WAG
77%
15%
8%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HAN
6 - 0
WAG
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
WAG
0 - 2
POL
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
WAG
0 - 6
PLA
19%
19%
62%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
3 - 2
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |