Progresso vs Wagiya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-83%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
7º
4º
6
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
PRO
32%
22%
46%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BDC
0 - 2
PRO
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
46%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPP
2 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wagiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WAG
1 - 3
HAN
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 1
WAG
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SPP
4 - 2
WAG
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 5
PLA
32%
22%
46%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
WAG
1 - 4
BDC
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |