Progresso vs San Pedro Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 2
PRO
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
3 - 0
BEL
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
San Pedro Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SPP
0 - 3
HAN
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
SPP
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
SPP
0 - 1
HAN
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
SPP
4 - 0
PLA
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 1
SPP
40%
22%
37%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |