Progresso vs San Pedro Pirates analysis


32	ELO	31
-10%	Tilt	-13.5%
48902º	General ELO ranking	43365º
37º	Country ELO ranking	33º
ELO win probability

50.8%

Progresso

21.8%

Draw

27.4%

San Pedro Pirates

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

50.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%

21.8%

Draw

0-0

3.3%

1-1

9.4%

2-2

6.6%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

21.8%

27.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-47%

-8%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

4º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

23

3º

7º

4º

26

1º

2º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

3º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
2º	27	30	1º	53%
3º	26	29	2º	27.5%
1º	28	28	3º	27.5%
4º	23	23	4º	100%
5º	22	22	5º	100%
6º	21	21	6º	100%
7º	6	6	7º	100%
8º	2	2	8º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Next round	100%	100%
Mid-table	0%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progresso

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Feb. 2023	PLA 0 - 0 PRO 53% 21% 26%	32	32	0	0
19 Feb. 2023	PRO 2 - 2 HAN 50% 22% 28%	31	31	0	+1
12 Feb. 2023	PRO 2 - 0 WAG 72% 16% 13%	31	22	9	0
05 Feb. 2023	BEL 0 - 0 PRO 32% 22% 46%	31	23	8	0
29 Jan. 2023	BDC 0 - 2 PRO 53% 22% 26%	29	31	2	+2

Matches

San Pedro Pirates

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
26 Feb. 2023	SPP 1 - 1 BDC 46% 22% 32%	31	31	0	0
19 Feb. 2023	SPP 0 - 1 PLA 51% 22% 27%	32	30	2	-1
12 Feb. 2023	HAN 2 - 4 SPP 48% 22% 30%	32	32	0	0
05 Feb. 2023	ALT 2 - 2 SPP 46% 23% 31%	32	32	0	0
29 Jan. 2023	BEL 0 - 6 SPP 34% 23% 44%	32	25	7	0