Progresso vs Belmopan Bandits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
POL
0 - 3
PRO
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 0
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Belmopan Bandits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
PLA
5 - 1
BEL
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
BEL
7 - 3
WAG
60%
19%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
5 - 2
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
POL
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BDC
3 - 2
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |