Progresso vs Belmopan Bandits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BDC
1 - 2
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 0
POL
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HAN
4 - 1
PRO
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
1 - 5
PRO
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Belmopan Bandits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 6
HAN
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 3
PLA
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
WAG
3 - 2
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 4
ALT
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |