Progresso vs Belmopan Bandits analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 1
PRO
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
HAN
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 2
PLA
45%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
HAN
2 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
0 - 8
PRO
16%
20%
65%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Belmopan Bandits
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
WAG
3 - 2
BEL
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 6
ALT
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BDC
2 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
BEL
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SPP
3 - 0
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |