Progresso vs Benque DC United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
HAN
3 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 1
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
3 - 1
POL
48%
21%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
PRO
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PRO
7 - 0
WAG
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benque DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
POL
1 - 3
BDC
41%
22%
37%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 3
BDC
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BDC
5 - 1
WAG
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
BDC
17%
19%
63%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 0
BDC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |