Progresso vs Altitude FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
7º
4º
22
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 30 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 29 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPP
2 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
SPP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
ALT
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Altitude FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALT
0 - 1
BDC
44%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 1
HAN
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
ALT
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 2
ALT
41%
23%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |