Progresso vs River RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+799%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
PRO
0 - 6
SAO
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
PRO
15%
17%
69%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
REA
1 - 4
PRO
17%
17%
66%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GAS
3 - 3
PRO
16%
17%
67%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
PRO
2 - 3
ARO
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
River RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
REC
1 - 3
REA
9%
13%
78%
|
8 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
REC
1 - 4
SAO
12%
18%
71%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |