Progresso vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
PRO
2 - 1
CRI
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
REM
4 - 0
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
HOL
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -3 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 5
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
HOL
4 - 3
REM
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2008 |
REM
4 - 0
PRO
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
REM
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
REM
2 - 1
AGU
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
REM
24%
23%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |