Progresso vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
62.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-86%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
0 - 2
MRF
29%
21%
51%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARO
36%
21%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
SAO
3 - 0
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2025 |
NAU
5 - 0
PRO
68%
17%
16%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
RIO
0 - 0
PRO
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAO
10%
18%
72%
|
20 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 0
NAU
37%
24%
39%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
MRF
1 - 2
BAR
44%
23%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2025 |
ARO
0 - 0
BAR
46%
24%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAR
4 - 0
RIO
60%
20%
19%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |