AFA Olaine vs Rigas FS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
10º
14º
13º
23
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
28 | 55 |
1º
|
76% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 46 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 45 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 43 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 34 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 17 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
33% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
42.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SMI
4 - 2
PRA
30%
22%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 5
FKB
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
TUK
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
8 - 1
PRA
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -3 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
KFV
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Rigas FS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 1
FSL
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 2
RIG
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
4 - 0
SKA
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
2 - 2
RIG
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RIG
0 - 2
ALB
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |