AFA Olaine vs Riga FC II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
5º
13º
11º
64
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RFA
2 - 0
PRA
35%
24%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 1
FKB
94%
5%
1%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 0
PRA
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRA
7 - 2
TUK
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Riga FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
RIG
2 - 0
SKA
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALB
1 - 1
RIG
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
RIG
4 - 0
RIG
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
RIG
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RIG
0 - 1
GRO
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |