AFA Olaine vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.4%
75.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.9%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2.5%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PRA
1 - 4
VAL
29%
23%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GRO
3 - 1
PRA
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
GRO
2 - 3
PRA
81%
11%
8%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PRA
4 - 0
KFV
82%
12%
7%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PRA
0 - 1
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
6 - 0
FKT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 1
FSM
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
SUP
2 - 5
FKT
17%
19%
64%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
FKT
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
FKT
2 - 0
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |