AFA Olaine vs FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
14º
13º
10
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 47 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 44 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 44 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 35 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 34 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 25 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 15 |
14º
|
80.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
35.5% | 38% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32.5% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
32% | 36% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFA Olaine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
OUD
8 - 1
PRA
29%
23%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
PRA
0 - 1
KFV
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
3 - 2
ALB
14%
22%
64%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PRA
1 - 0
SKA
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RIG
4 - 0
PRA
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000 / TSS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TUK
2 - 1
FSL
69%
17%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUK
36%
25%
40%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 1
RFA
68%
16%
16%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TUK
1 - 2
RIG
22%
22%
56%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
FSL
2 - 2
TUK
28%
20%
52%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |