Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PRO
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 2
REN
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 0
PRO
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FEN
2 - 1
PRO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
CEL
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 3
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 3
LFC
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 2
CSC
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |