Progreso vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
ATE
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
DAN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 1
PRO
48%
28%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 1
JUN
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 2
SUD
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
JUV
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 0
SUD
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 5
CSM
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |