Progreso vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
ATE
1 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 1
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEN
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
CSM
1 - 1
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 1
CSM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
BOS
44%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 1
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
HFC
0 - 3
SUD
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 0
DUR
57%
23%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 2
SUD
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |