Progreso vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
0 - 2
PRO
25%
25%
51%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CSM
3 - 3
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
77%
15%
7%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
BOS
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SUD
2 - 1
REN
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SUD
3 - 2
CSM
23%
27%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 0
SUD
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SUD
1 - 1
BOS
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
ETS
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |