Progreso vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
REN
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CSC
3 - 2
PRO
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 1
PLA
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
DUR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 0
PLA
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ATE
1 - 0
SUD
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
CSM
1 - 3
SUD
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SUD
0 - 1
ETS
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |