Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 1
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
PRO
45%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 0
BOS
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CAN
0 - 1
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
6 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 0
VIL
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
ROC
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
ROC
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 1
CEN
29%
26%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CSC
4 - 2
ROC
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |