Progreso vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DEP
0 - 3
PRO
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 2
CSM
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 2
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
ATE
3 - 2
PRO
41%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
ATE
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 0
PLA
40%
27%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROC
0 - 0
DEP
35%
27%
37%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 1
ROC
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
HBU
2 - 0
ROC
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 3
BOS
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |