Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
SUD
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 0
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 3
LFC
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 1
CEL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 1
PLA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
2 - 1
LFC
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 2
PLA
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |