Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 2
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 0
MWA
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 3
CEL
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
PLA
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
PEÑ
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |