Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 3
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BSC
3 - 1
PRO
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 2
BSC
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PRO
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 4
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 0
PLA
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 0
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
PLA
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
AME
1 - 2
PLA
48%
25%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
RAC
3 - 2
PLA
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |