Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
HFC
1 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
PRO
2 - 1
CSC
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PRO
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PRO
0 - 1
CEN
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LFC
6 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 2
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
HFC
0 - 3
PLA
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 2
CSC
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 0
PLA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 1
CEN
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |