Progreso vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
3 - 0
BOS
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 1
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
HBU
0 - 2
PRO
22%
24%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 3
FEN
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PRO
2 - 1
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PLA
2 - 2
DEP
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PLA
4 - 2
REN
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CSM
2 - 0
PLA
63%
23%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 0
ROC
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HBU
0 - 2
PLA
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |