Progreso vs Juventud analysis

Progreso Juventud
81 ELO 80
7% Tilt 4.7%
503º General ELO ranking 659º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Progreso
24.4%
Draw
23.7%
Juventud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Progreso
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23.7%
Win probability
Juventud
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Progreso
-10%
+25%
Juventud

Points and table prediction

Progreso
Their league position
Juventud
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
11º
16º
12º
30
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Liverpool Montevideo
32
32
100%
Nacional
31
31
100%
Juventud
30
30
100%
Peñarol
24
27
100%
Defensor Sporting
24
24
100%
Racing Montevideo
23
23
100%
Boston River
22
22
100%
Cerro Largo
21
21
100%
Plaza Colonia
19
19
100%
Montevideo City Torque
10º
17
17
10º
100%
Cerro CA
11º
15
15
11º
0%
Progreso
12º
15
15
12º
0%
Montevideo Wanderers
14º
12
12
13º
0%
Danubio
13º
12
12
14º
0%
Miramar Misiones
15º
12
12
15º
0%
River Plate Montevideo
16º
10
10
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Progreso
Juventud
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Progreso
Juventud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Progreso
Progreso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
TOR
Montevideo City Torque
2 - 3
Progreso
PRO
47%
25%
29%
81 81 0 0
27 Apr. 2025
PRO
Progreso
0 - 2
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
48%
25%
27%
81 81 0 0
21 Apr. 2025
DEF
Defensor Sporting
1 - 2
Progreso
PRO
44%
26%
30%
81 81 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
PRO
Progreso
1 - 1
Plaza Colonia
PLA
48%
25%
27%
81 81 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
CER
Cerro CA
0 - 0
Progreso
PRO
38%
27%
35%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Juventud
Juventud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
JUV
Juventud
1 - 0
Liverpool Montevideo
LFC
38%
28%
34%
80 81 1 0
26 Apr. 2025
PLA
Plaza Colonia
0 - 0
Juventud
JUV
44%
27%
29%
79 81 2 +1
19 Apr. 2025
JUV
Juventud
1 - 0
Racing Montevideo
RAC
34%
28%
38%
79 81 2 0
14 Apr. 2025
RIV
River Plate Montevideo
1 - 0
Juventud
JUV
52%
24%
23%
79 81 2 0
05 Apr. 2025
JUV
Juventud
4 - 1
Boston River
BOS
35%
30%
36%
78 81 3 +1