Progreso vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 4
LFC
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 2
CEL
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
3 - 3
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 2
FEN
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FEN
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |