Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CSM
3 - 3
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
0 - 2
PLA
77%
15%
7%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 1
BOS
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 1
PRO
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
ETS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
DEP
0 - 3
ROC
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
DEP
1 - 2
ETS
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
DEP
4 - 0
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BOS
0 - 0
DEP
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |