Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CER
2 - 0
PRO
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
FEN
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 4
LFC
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 1
PRO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
3 - 2
PLA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |