Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 0
DAN
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 2
PRO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 0
PRO
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
JUV
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
DEF
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 3
DEF
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |