Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
PRO
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CEL
0 - 0
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 0
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
PRO
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PRO
4 - 0
RIV
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
DEF
2 - 4
FEN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
DEF
1 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
DEF
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DEF
4 - 1
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |