Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CER
5 - 2
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
FEN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 2
PRO
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 0
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
JUN
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |