Progreso vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
FEN
1 - 2
PRO
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 1
CEN
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
JUV
3 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PRO
1 - 0
CSM
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DAN
9 - 1
PRO
71%
17%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
DEF
3 - 4
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 0
TAC
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
JUN
1 - 6
DEF
35%
27%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
BVS
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |